April 10, 2020
It’s all yours today…
June 4, 2014
December 2, 2015
September 4, 2014
“If the expert’s numbers are correct (based on their conservative models) 70 to 150 million Americans will contract the Coronavirus within the next year, so at a 1% death rate that’s 700,000 to 1,500,000 deaths. I think that means about 3000 Americans a day will die from now until the end of the year.
I don’t want to cause panic, just doing the math. It seems high but we’ll see.”
directambiguity March 13, 2020 at 12:30 pm
Never mind, wash your hands, go back to work.
People are adaptable. Lacking national direction, people changed habits on their own. My estimate of victims spiked about two weeks ago, now I dont think this phase will be that high.
But how many phases will we see?
How many phases? Yes..
It’s difficult to get reliable information. Here is a link to one of the prominent models, which is adjusted daily, based on the data:
That model, which the federal government uses (along with I understand a couple others) also provides State-specific modeling. You can literally see on a daily basis how this pandemic is progressing in our country.
Regarding the reliability of information, do no trust the Administration’s propaganda regarding the availability of testing and PPE, to say nothing of pharmaceuticals progress. For example, just today, the President said the country is well stocked in PPE. At the same time, just today, my Iowa Governor issued a new emergency order due to shortages of PPE, allowing providers to reuse PPE without liability, and also encouraging providers to sow their own masks at home. Can you believe it?
You will get better information from your Governor, though even the governors are being coerced to go along with the Administration’s narrative for fear of being put at the back of the line for PPE and ventilators. The best information you can get will probably come from doctors and nurses in your communities, who place their own lives at risk every day in this war. They are the beneficiaries or victims of the choices the rest of us make every day. They are Christ in your neighbor. Honor their vocations by social distancing, along with the other CDC guidelines.
Hate to burst anyone’s bubble, but…
There’s no going back. This will affect us in many ways, shapes and forms for a long time. This
is the opposite of a “one off” that we can just easily pivot from.
If we send people back to their work early, this virus will just reinfact folks.
Plus, our gov’t lost at least 2 months by denying the virus’s reality. That’s why we don’t have
Bob1, you’re speaking truth. I am all for being an optimist and aspirational, but not at the expense of truth. This pandemic will prove difficult to BS one’s way out of. I can’t say impossible, because there is always the “If I shot someone on 5th Avenue…” true believer crowd.
Exactly. In the last 120 years, there’s been only 1 president who won a second term after a recession
in the last 2 years of their first term.
I saw Jon Meacham, the presidential historian and one of my favorite Anglicans (he just wrote a
book about Jesus’ last words at the Cross) describe our current Comando in Chief as a “churlish monarch.” Works for me!
Directambiguity….I remember your comment. ha!
I remember this from several years ago: remember when there was an Ebola outbreak in Africa a few years ago…the Drudge Report had a headline on it’s webpage with some expert claim that up to 10,000 people in the U.S. were going to have Ebola by the end of the year.
Turns out the only people in the U.S. that actually had Ebola (and I think there was only under 5) were health professionals and/or missionaries who came back to the U.S. to get treatment…they all recovered.
Hey, I trust the doctors and experts more than the talking heads on blogs and twitter, but some predictions are just that. And for that matter…the Drudge Report is THE WORST in trying to incite people.
Thankfully the numbers in Australia are down to 100-150 new cases per day for the last week, down from over 300 two weeks ago, along with a good rate of testing.
It may still be a while before we go even partway back to business as usual. We built extra hospital capacity, but hopefully we don’t need to use much of it.
The fear for us is passed. Now more concerned about the rest of the world.
Thank you Eric. Hearing good stories regarding this pandemic is very encouraging.
Question for the house:
Can one worship God in a manner that disregards the welfare of one’s neighbors?
If Christ is in your neighbor, then what are you doing to Christ when you recklessly disregard his or her welfare?
However, many are now saying (again) that this was a manufactured crisis for political gain.
Basically, from a secular view…we’re screwed.
I woke up this morning with a terrible stomach ache. This isn’t a good time as hospitals are strict on who they will see. Have no clue what’s up. Would you pray God would allow this to diminish. Thank you.
Not funny, Erunner. – praying now… maybe you’ll be treated by the USN?
Due to my anxiety I can only go to the hospital around the corner. I spoke to the ER and the nurse was very vague as to my safety sitting in an ER I will try to wait this out before I go. Thank you for responding.
My doctor (and many others) are using telemed appointments…from your own home.
Check and see if thats so with your providers.
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